Despite the flurry of polling activity that is fast becoming the bane of dinner time, not much has been released to the public. Here is some of the information seeping from the various candidates and organizations.
A variety of internal polls show Steve Huffman gaining on Randy with Hellon holding steady. Precinct committeemen (PCs) in LD26, Huffman and Hellon's home district, are supporting Randy Graf at 33%, Mike Hellon at 25%, and Steve Huffman at 10%. As Steve Huffman gets further from his home district, his numbers go up and Mike Hellon's go down, an interesting statement on popularity. Of course, any poll in LD26 will be skewed one way or the other, although we believe Graf's numbers to hold across the board.
The Arizona Daily Star will release it's poll of 500 or so voters tomorrow. We expect little change from Randy Graf and Mike Hellon with Graf in the mid thirty-something percentiles. Our sense is that Huffman wil show some gains but that Graf will maintain as least a double digit lead.
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Everything is so fluid right now that it depends on when the numbers were run.What effect has the NRCC controversy had? What about the Tucson Weekly's unprecendted retraction of its endorsement of Huffman? The Minutemen, supporting Randy, recently admitted to a poll of Graf at 26% Huffman at 23% and Hellon at 20%. That would indicate that Graf is struggling to maintain his base, Huffman is going nowhere and Hellon is starting to gain traction.
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