tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28821987.post115110692439812774..comments2023-12-30T21:07:49.487-07:00Comments on Arizona 8th: The New Weiss PollUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28821987.post-1151435760797304402006-06-27T12:16:00.000-07:002006-06-27T12:16:00.000-07:00Things are not staying the same. Patty has momentu...Things are not staying the same. Patty has momentum, having expanded her HQ, added volunteers, and received press for this Clean Elections issue.<BR/><BR/>Gabby is on the defense, not offense. She is playing safe, and she is losing primary voters.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28821987.post-1151292286222735992006-06-25T20:24:00.000-07:002006-06-25T20:24:00.000-07:00Okay, this is the thing. Celinda is well known for...Okay, this is the thing. <BR/>Celinda is well known for narrowing down her polls to the smallest possible universe. In this case, that means that she *very* narrowly defined a "likely Democratic voter."<BR/>So. This poll is weighted towards the higher-efficacy Dems in the community. Okay.<BR/>That being the case, I'm not at all surprised that Patty is showing up as only 10 ahead. <BR/>We all know that it's those moderate- and lower-efficacy Dems who adore Patty and can hardly wait to come out and vote for her. Gabby's not going to get any of those votes. <BR/>So when you get down to it, Patty's likely support is in fact far greater than a 10 point lead in this poll would indicate.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28821987.post-1151164287423095172006-06-24T08:51:00.000-07:002006-06-24T08:51:00.000-07:00Five polls taken show Patty Weiss leading by betwe...Five polls taken show Patty Weiss leading by between 32% to over 50%, when the undecided are factored in. They break in favor of Patty 2 to one.<BR/><BR/>The neocons at the National Review support their Gabby and are throwing their considerable bias to her.<BR/><BR/>All of this is very good news for Gabby.<BR/><BR/>She can still swamp the boat with TV ads!<BR/><BR/>Powerline and her other neocon supporters will throw some analysis her way. They are vested in her.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com