Thursday, April 05, 2007

GOP Primary Poll Results

In New Hampshire McCain remains level with Giuliani while Romney creeps up 4 points to remain in third.

McCain 29%
Giuliani 29%
Romney 17%
Thompson 3%
Gingrich 2%

Everyone else 1% or lower

This is a poll of likely Primary voters that took place before the fundraising announcements.

Meanwhile, in Iowa:

McCain 22.8%
Giuliani 21.2%
Romney 17.4%

This is for Republicans and Republican leaners registered to vote. Among likely Caucus goers:

McCain 20.9%
Giuliani 20.3%
Romney 16.9%

More detailed analysis and Democratic results to come.


Latest from New Hampshire according to Zogby:

McCain 25%
Romney 25%
Giuliani 19%

It's been a very good week for Mr. Romney.


sirocco said...

I can't really see Giuliani's numbers going anywhere but down in the long term, so these polls have to be a ray of sunlight for the McCain camp after the disappointing fund-raising numbers.

Kralmajales said...

They are indeed a ray of sunlight. Despite the fact that many conservatives are bashing McCain, he is REALLY the most conservative candidate in the race over Romney and Guiliani. Althought, with Romney's fundraising success and because he is not so well known on broader issues, he might very well convince voters that he is.

I will still remind everyone here of one more advantage I think McCain has waiting for him. It is his new "firewall" in South Carolina. Anyone hoping to compete with him and put a dagger in him will have to do so there. He learned his mistake last time and has organized SC with the help of Graham.

It is the first Southern primary, it is the "gateway to the South" and a win there will remind those in the Republican party of who appeals most to their base, which is clearly in the south.

Framer said...

Upated the post. According to Zogby, it is Rudy who is losing steam in New Hampshire and not McCain, with Romney being the benefactor.

I wouldn't have bet that way.

sirocco said...

I suspect it can be attributed to people in that part of the country being more knowledgeable than the country at large vis-a-vis both Giuliani and Romney ... and apparently Romney is coming out ahead in that comparison.

Both are fairly liberal in some of their positions (although both are trying to hide or run from those positions), but it may be Giuliani's well-documented family issues are beginning to haunt him with "values" voters.

x4mr said...

As I said elsewhere, McCain is imploding. He is too old and losing it, and the 60 minutes piece inflicted non trivial damage.

Romney's strength is surprising me. Can this guy really pull it off?

Giuliani is strongest in the general.

The religious right has to be frustrated.