Sunday, March 11, 2007

This week's polling data

The new polling data on the Republican side of the aisle from the ongoing Arizona Eighth Blog straw poll:

Mitt Romney 41.2%
John McCain 14.7%
Newt Gingrich 11.8%
Tom Tancredo 11.8%
Rudy Giuliani 8.8%
Chuck Hagel 2.9%
Duncan Hunter 2.9%
Jim Gilmore 2.9%
Tommy Thompson 2.9%

It appears that Romney had a good week with his appearance at CPAC, and McCain has overtaken the others for the number 2 slot. The most amazing discovery is the fact that Chuck Hagel found some support.

On the other side, it was Bill Richardson in a Runaway once more.

Voting has been cleared and can begin anew

Future polling should be interesting if we begin to see Fred Thompson make a run of it

Warning, the interview information came off of FOX news, so those who are offended by this may want to skip the WaPo article I referenced.

12 comments:

Kralmajales said...

This is pretty stunning. I would love to look at the Fox poll you speak of. Most polls I have seen have Guiliani gaining strength and by no means as low as this. However, the same poll I heard mentioned that conservatives would be far less likely to support him if they knew he was pro-choice (which he is) and pro gay rights (which he is).

Out of the top 3, Romney "appears" to be the most conservative, but he has had his flip flops as well. Also, he did not have much of a conservative record in Mass.

Very very interesting.

Framer said...

Roger,

This is just from readers of this site. This is not indicative at all of the national picture. Or indicative of our readers were thinking last week for that matter. What it shows is that Romney has made gains with this site's readers.

The FOX interview I refer to is concerning the possible entrance of Fred Thompson as a candidate.

Sorry for the confusion.

Kralmajales said...

No problem, thanks much Framer!

Although, I do think this is still very much up for grabs AND that your man Romney has a real shot. I do think, despite his record as Governor and his own flip flops, that he may be in a much better position to position himself with conservatives.

Like I mentioned before, I heard a poll (a national one, can't remember which) that said three funny things:

a) Over 70% said they were following the election closely.

b) That Guiliani had increased his lead among conservatives.

c) That when republicans were asked if they would still support Guiliani if they knew he was pro-choice and pro-gay rights...a whopping 60-70% said no.

Some much for all of us paying close attention to the election. But also, I will say this, it does leave this thing wide open for others to pull up on Rudy (like Romney or MCain).

sirocco said...

I was on a plane trip recently and sat next to a very pleasant woman who was also Morman. We spent the better part of an hour discussing politics, Romneu and other related matters.

Her view mirrored that I have heard elsewhere, that as people learned more about Mormanism, Romney's numbers would drop correspondingly. She claimed to wish he simply wouldn't run, she didn't want the added publicity about their shared religion.

She wasn't embarrassed by Mormanism or anything, she just was advocating more of a "we want things to stay peaceful and quiet" position, which won't happen if Romney draws serious support.

Omar Cruz said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Bruce P. Murchison said...

With Newt Gingrich's admission of his shortcomings to James Dobson and with Jerry Falwell’s praise, we may be hearing an announcement soon. Forgiveness among the Religious Right is key to getting the nomination. It will be interesting to see what develops.

Kralmajales said...

Bruce,

So forgiveness is all it takes? I am amazed. Look at what he said about Bill Clinton as he led the impeachment of him and all the while, having his own affair.

These guys (and I do mean guys) seem to selectively forgive whomever they want and persecute others for the same behavior. I just don't get how so many can follow them.

Anyhow, maybe thats just me.

the zoom said...

Did Clinton fire her first shot?

This is from the NY Times on Al Gore. Looks like he is preparing to run for president and the Clinton camp is worried.

From a Rapt Audience, a Call to Cool the Hype

Kralmajales said...

Good lord...not Gore AGAIN!

I will say something that conservatives here will agree with. I cannot believe how Democrats can be so enamored with the Gores, Kerry's, and Hillary Clintons of the world. The are HORRIBLE candidates. They are unlikeable outside of some Democratic circles. They do not stir a room up, they all look awkward as hell at BBQs or anytime they are around "real" average people.

I just don't get it. Mark Warner...unbelievable charisma. Edwards has it too, which is why so many conservatives want him out. I mean, Framer, is that the guy you all want to face or would you rather face a Gore or a Hillary???

Last, Obama...incredible energy, can mix with or talk with anyone.

I just don't get it. For god sakes give Gore the Nobel Prize, give him an Institute and get him OUT of electoral politics.

Framer said...

Not afraid of Edwards AT ALL. Obama, a little more so because he would be a bad matchup for McCain, should it come to that.

I personally think Warner was the scariest and we don't need to worry about him anymore. After him, probably Richardson, who has no chance as far as I can see.

Bruce P. Murchison said...

Kralmajales,
You're right in saying that forgiveness should never be selective, and yes there are many that practice it, but admission is the first step, not the only. Had Clinton come clean and admitted his adultery (regardless of whether it was anybody's business), there never would have been an impeachment.

sirocco said...

Which totally ignores the fact Clinton _did_ admit (and apologize for) his adultery prior to the impeachment. It didn't, in fact, halt it. The impeachment attempt was for perjury, and went ahead regardless.