Sorry about the lack of posts. I believe that most of the people reading have already decided, so I have been out working among our future readers :)
Just to bring us up to date, tomorrow is obviously the election. At this point I am ready to concede the polls to the Democrats. Congratulations to Democrats on their fourth such victory in a row. It is perfectly evident that Republicans are just not built to compete in this arena and changes will have to be made in order to show well in future polls.
The actual election is, as always, a different matter, and the Republicans seem to play this game a little better.
Here is my take on the national scene:
1. Any race where the polling is within one or two points in the polling will go to the Republicans at a near 80% clip. This, however, will not apply to races in New Jersey or Maryland.
2. Corker beats Ford, however, this will not be called right away.
3. Allen beats Webb. This will not be as close as many are expecting.
4. Republicans do not pick up either New Jersey or Maryland. We are dreaming that we have a chance there.
5. In an upset special, Burns retains his seat. This has been marked as a Democrat win for some time now. I know Montana pretty well, and know that Tester is not an easy sell for the overall populace. Someday the influx of Californians may turn Montana completely blue, but I do not believe that time is here quite yet.
6. Chafee defeats Whitehouse. Behold the awesome power of the GOP GOTV. Republicans are excited right up to the point where Chafee actually starts voting again.
7. Santorum loses by 6%
8. Talent wins, although there will be more shenanigans in St. Louis.
9. Brown wins, Ohio suffers buyers remorse soon after.
10. Republicans retain both the Foley and the Delay seats, due mainly to their amazing ability to research and follow directions.
11. Republicans lose 16 seats, costing them the House by the slimmest of margins. 40% chance that one or more Democrats are lured across the aisle with promises of chairmanships.
12. The Graf race is closer than many expect. Even if he does not win, the result will be close enough that Matt Salmon will be in hot water for actively supporting Huffman and his negative campaigning.
13. Hayworth and Kyl win going away.
14. None of the positive Republican developments will be a result of the intervention of Karl Rove.
15. Liberal Democrats will find that not all Democrats running for the house are only pretending to be moderates. Many of them actually will be moderates and vote in ways sure to infuriate liberals.
16. Either John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, or Mitt Romney will defeat Hillary Clinton in 2008 with Coattails.
Fire away, and do not forget to vote.